"The history of Eureka lies in its future." - Lambert Molinelli, 1878

DISCLOSURE

The author/editor of the Eureka Miner owns common shares of local mining stocks, McEwen Mining (MUX) and General Moly (GMO). Please do your own research, markets can turn on you faster than a feral cat.

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

The Colonel Hits the Open Road


Morning Miners!

It is 6:42 AM, have a cup and let's check the NOAA weather radar. I plan to hit the open road after this snow storm and will be back on the air bright and early next Tuesday, 1/19/10. Late is never good especially with storms and this one has been a slowpoke getting here. It looks like we've got colors coming in from the south southwest:


The markets are pretty quite today so I think I'm leaving you in good shape. Oil has edged below $80, molybdenum has moved up to $15.25 and gold is fairly stable near the $1130 level. Gold has returned to where we did our price predictions earlier this month (Moly Inches Higher, The Colonel's Outlook for January):

The fair value of silver is $17.918 in a range of $17.064 to $18.771 (Today, $18.405)

The fair value of copper is $3.1105 in a range of $2.8862 to $3.3348 (Today, $3.3615)

The fair value of oil is $76.610 in a range of $69.98 to $83.24 (Today, $79.58)

Traders are expecting large increases in U.S. oil and fuel inventories which has taken some shine off the recent run up in oil. Moly has popped 22% this month and I wouldn't be surprised if it stays put for a while given recent concerns about China's growth and a down tick in nickel prices. Silver is looking at little toppy with respect to gold and copper is moving back towards its expected range after a shot at $3.50 failed.

The Colonel will call this a pretty stable market after a lot of giddy-up go for the last two weeks. Stable is good.

Enough watching paint dry, let's walk the walk:

4-WD is OFF - the VIX or "fear index" remains below 25; smoother road market conditions expected to continue (what's this?)

Yellow light is ON for possible adverse regulation/legislation: Cortez Hills & mercury emissions

Otherwise, all lights are green on the Eureka Outlook Dashboard (upper right, what's this?)

Oil is down $1.21 in early trading to $79.58 (February contract, most active); Gold is flat at $1129.4 (February contract, most active); Silver is up $0.150 to $18.405 (March contract); Copper is up $0.0120 to $3.3615 (March contract); Molybdenum moves to $15.25

The DOW is up 8.63 points to 10635.88; the S&P 500 is downup 0.42 points to 1136.64. The miners are resting:

Barrick (ABX) $40.06 down 0.60%
Newmont (NEM) $48.40 down 0.25%
US Gold UXG) $2.56 down 0.39%
General Moly (Eureka Moly, LLC) (GMO) $2.76 up 2.22%
Thompson Creek (TC) $14.00 up 1.08%
Freeport McMoran (FCX) $88.61 up 0.58% (a bellwether mining stock spanning gold, copper & molybdenum)

The Steels are resting too, (a "tell" for General Moly & Thompson Creek):

ArcelorMittal (MT) $46.48 down 0.45% - global steel producer
POSCO (PKX) $134.18 down 0.86% - South Korean integrated steel producer

The Eureka Miner's Grubstake Portfolio is is up 0.24% to $1,359,232.35 (what is this?).

Cheers,

Colonel Possum

Headline Photograph by Mariana Titus

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